Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: GREYVILLE CONVENTION CENTRE FM 83 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Kennedy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Le Premiere 4 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 86 88 86 +0 2 Pelargonium 3 60.5 2 0.40 2.5 84 84 84 +0 3 Kennedy 3 58.0 3 2.50 2.5 79 79 79 +0 4 War Empress 5 58.0 4 2.65 0.0 79 84 84 +5 5 Rapid Fire 4 56.5 5 4.65 0.0 76 81 81 +5 6 Isn't She Bonny 2 57.0 6 6.25 1.5 80 79 79 -1 7 Mist In Scotland 2 60.5 7 12.05 1.5 87 86 86 -1 99 Patants Heir 3 58.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Le Premiere | 86 | 84 | 86 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Pelargonium | 84 | 84 | 84 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Kennedy Line | 79 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | War Empress | 79 | 92 | 84 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Rapid Fire | 76 | 72 | 81 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Isn't She Bonny | 80 | 71 | 79 | -8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Mist In Scotland | 87 | 77 | 86 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Patants Heir | - | 90 | 79 | +11 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points