Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 30 MAY FM 77 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Happy Analia
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fennec Fox 5 52.0 1 0.00 0.0 60 64 60 +0 2 Ride On 2 60.0 2 0.80 1.5 77 77 77 +0 3 Waitforgreenlight 2 57.5 3 1.80 1.5 75 72 72 -3 4 Happy Analia 4 60.0 4 2.20 0.0 80 80 80 +0 5 Midnight Fusion 4 59.5 5 2.70 0.0 79 79 79 +0 6 Lovegrass 4 59.5 6 3.20 0.0 79 79 79 +0 7 Heirloom 4 59.5 7 5.20 0.0 79 79 79 +0 8 Jasiri 2 60.0 8 5.50 1.5 80 77 77 -3 9 Smelting 7 52.0 9 5.60 0.0 52 64 64 +12 10 Flying Broomstick 3 56.0 10 15.75 2.5 69 67 67 -2 99 In The Ether 6 54.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fennec Fox | 60 | 64 | 60 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ride On | 77 | 87 | 77 | +10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Waitforgreenlight | 75 | 67 | 72 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Happy Analia Line | 80 | 78 | 80 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Midnight Fusion | 79 | 67 | 79 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lovegrass | 79 | 96 | 79 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Heirloom | 79 | 67 | 79 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Jasiri | 80 | 82 | 77 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Smelting | 52 | 52 | 64 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Flying Broomstick | 69 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | In The Ether | - | 63 | 68 | -5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points