Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R100 000 Win CRS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cool Cat 2 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 - - - +0 2 Fredericos Passion 3 60.0 2 1.00 2.5 - - - +0 3 Confetti 2 57.5 3 4.75 1.5 - - - +0 4 Cape Flower 3 57.5 4 9.25 2.5 - - - +0 5 Union Rose 3 60.0 5 9.50 2.5 - - - +0 6 Stormstride 3 60.0 6 23.25 2.5 - - - +0 7 Moongate Garden 2 58.5 7 99.99 1.5 - - - +0 99 Cowboys Don't Cry 2 60.0 99 0.00 1.5 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cool Cat | - | 94 | - | +94 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Fredericos Passion | - | 70 | - | +70 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Confetti | - | 81 | - | +81 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Cape Flower | - | 57 | - | +57 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Union Rose | - | 69 | - | +69 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Stormstride | - | 54 | - | +54 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Moongate Garden | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Cowboys Don't Cry | - | - | - | - | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points