Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: RACING240 FOR RACING. FOR YOU MR 90 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Cool Winter
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 First Origin 2 57.5 1 0.00 1.5 96 85 96 +0 2 Tuscan Gold 2 55.5 2 2.25 1.5 80 81 81 +1 3 Cool Winter 2 57.5 3 2.50 1.5 85 85 85 +0 4 Ferrando 3 52.0 4 4.75 2.5 74 72 72 -2 5 Siberian Steel 3 55.5 5 4.80 2.5 81 79 79 -2 6 Axl 3 58.5 6 5.30 2.5 87 85 85 -2 7 European Summer 3 57.0 7 5.80 2.5 83 82 82 -1 8 Barzalona 6 60.0 8 8.05 0.0 93 93 93 +0 9 Greenlighttoheaven 4 58.5 9 8.55 0.0 87 90 90 +3 10 Teatro 5 61.0 10 8.80 0.0 92 95 95 +3 11 Vegas Gold 3 57.5 11 9.30 2.5 84 83 83 -1 12 Acorn 2 59.5 12 11.80 1.5 89 89 89 +0 13 Renaissance Man 3 56.5 13 14.55 2.5 83 81 81 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | First Origin | 96 | 91 | 96 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Tuscan Gold | 80 | 84 | 81 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Cool Winter Line | 85 | 78 | 85 | -7 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Ferrando | 74 | 74 | 72 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Siberian Steel | 81 | 80 | 79 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Axl | 87 | 84 | 85 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | European Summer | 83 | 77 | 82 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Barzalona | 93 | 66 | 93 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Greenlighttoheaven | 87 | 83 | 90 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Teatro | 92 | 91 | 95 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Vegas Gold | 84 | 83 | 83 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Acorn | 89 | 89 | 89 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Renaissance Man | 83 | 79 | 81 | -2 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points