Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: POCKET POWER STAKES (Grade 3) (For 3 years & older (Winter Series Leg 3))
Line Horse
Otto Luyken
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 The Futurist 3 56.0 1 0.00 2.5 98 92 92 -6 2 Pacaya 3 60.0 2 9.25 2.5 115 100 105 -10 3 Navy Strength 3 58.0 3 10.00 2.5 102 96 96 -6 4 Otto Luyken 5 56.0 4 10.20 0.0 97 97 97 +0 5 Rapidash 2 55.0 5 11.20 0.0 106 95 96 -10 6 Flower Of Saigon 4 55.0 6 13.45 1.0 104 93 94 -10 7 Future Prince 3 57.0 7 14.20 2.5 100 94 94 -6 8 Voorloopertjie 2 54.0 8 14.95 0.0 93 93 93 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Futurist | 98 | 104 | 92 | +12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Pacaya | 115 | 115 | 105 | +10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Navy Strength | 102 | 97 | 96 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Otto Luyken Line | 97 | 116 | 97 | +19 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Rapidash | 106 | 107 | 96 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Flower Of Saigon | 104 | 102 | 94 | +8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Future Prince | 100 | 93 | 94 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Voorloopertjie | 93 | 96 | 93 | +3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points