Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Hippocrates
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Preemptive Strike    4    59.0    1    0.00     0.0   72    77           72    +0
2    Moya Wa Laliga       3    60.5    2    0.05     2.5   75    75           75    +0
3    Hippocrates          3    56.5    3    1.10     2.5   67    67           67    +0
4    Anotherdayinafrica   6    48.0    4    3.20     0.0   55    55           55    +0
5    Dark Tide            5    52.5    5    4.50     0.0   55    64           64    +9
6    Gorgeous Guy         2    60.0    6    4.55     1.5   77    76           76    -1
7    Love In Winter       4    58.5    7    4.95     0.0   71    76           76    +5
8    John Wick            2    55.5    8    5.35     1.5   76    67           67    -9
9    Gimme A Rainbow      4    61.0    9    6.35     0.0   76    81           81    +5
10   Mask On              3    59.0    10   6.75     2.5   72    72           72    +0
11   Purple Operator      3    59.0    11   6.85     2.5   72    72           72    +0
12   Ndaka                3    56.5    12   7.85     2.5   67    67           67    +0
99   Happy Wanderer       5    54.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     68           68    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Preemptive Strike 72 70 72 -2 0.0 -
2 Moya Wa Laliga 75 81 75 +6 2.5 -
3 Hippocrates Line 67 68 67 +1 2.5
4 Anotherdayinafrica 55 49 55 -6 0.0 -
5 Dark Tide 55 53 64 -11 0.0 -
6 Gorgeous Guy 77 81 76 +5 1.5 -
7 Love In Winter 71 74 76 -2 0.0 -
8 John Wick 76 82 67 +15 1.5 -
9 Gimme A Rainbow 76 74 81 -7 0.0 -
10 Mask On 72 52 72 -20 2.5 -
11 Purple Operator 72 74 72 +2 2.5 -
12 Ndaka 67 61 67 -6 2.5 -
99 Happy Wanderer - 55 68 -13 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points