Official NHA Assessment

Race 3: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN HANDICAP (For Maidens with 3 or more runs.R15000 Win bonus ROA Members)

Back to Race

Line Horse

American Rebel

Reference for assessment

Exact Matches

0 / 15

Calculated = Official

Close Matches

1 / 15

Within 2 points

Significant Diffs

9 / 15

More than 5 points

Detailed Assessment

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Ultimissimo          3    52.0    1    0.00     2.0   78    54           78    +0
2    Mo Ment              4    54.0    2    1.75     0.5   63    64           64    +1
3    American Rebel       4    60.0    3    3.00     0.5   75    75           75    +0
4    Path Of Power        3    57.5    4    4.00     2.0   70    66           66    -4
5    Oklahoma Twister     4    56.0    5    4.10     0.5   67    66           66    -1
6    Gamer                4    54.0    6    4.50     0.5   63    61           61    -2
7    Roll Of The Dice     3    56.5    7    5.25     2.0   68    63           63    -5
8    Gold De Grace        4    52.5    8    6.25     0.5   55    58           58    +3
9    Path Fairy           4    52.0    9    6.75     0.5   54    57           57    +3
10   Hat Furious          4    53.5    10   7.25     0.5   62    60           60    -2
11   Justcruisinalong     3    52.0    11   7.75     2.0   53    54           54    +1
12   Villa Semaya         2    55.0    12   8.00     0.0   65    64           64    -1
13   Perform              2    48.5    13   9.50     0.0   56    51           51    -5
99   Chicago Lass         6    54.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     62           62    +0
99   Spirit In The Wind   4    54.0    99   0.00     0.5   -     61           61    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos	Horse	Pre-Rating	Official New	Calculated	Discrepancy	WFA (kg)	Line Horse
1	Ultimissimo	78	70	78	-8	2.0	-
2	Mo Ment	63	93	64	+29	0.5	-
3	American Rebel Line	75	81	75	+6	0.5
4	Path Of Power	70	69	66	+3	2.0	-
5	Oklahoma Twister	67	71	66	+5	0.5	-
6	Gamer	63	65	61	+4	0.5	-
7	Roll Of The Dice	68	81	63	+18	2.0	-
8	Gold De Grace	55	51	58	-7	0.5	-
9	Path Fairy	54	50	57	-7	0.5	-
10	Hat Furious	62	53	60	-7	0.5	-
11	Justcruisinalong	53	45	54	-9	2.0	-
12	Villa Semaya	65	59	64	-5	0.0	-
13	Perform	56	54	51	+3	0.0	-
99	Chicago Lass	-	43	62	-19	0.0	-
99	Spirit In The Wind	-	60	61	-1	0.5	-

Assessment Methodology

Calculation Steps:

Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA
Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)

Key Formulas:

Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points