Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: BOOK FOR JULY DAY IN JOZI 0116811796 MAIDEN HANDICAP (For Maidens with 3 or more runs.R15000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Smashing
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Commander Of All 2 59.0 1 0.00 1.5 63 60 63 +0 2 Sicily 2 55.5 2 0.75 1.5 72 53 62 -10 3 Smashing 4 60.0 3 2.50 0.0 65 65 65 +0 4 Pacific 4 54.0 4 3.75 0.0 53 53 53 +0 5 The Real Deal 4 48.0 5 4.50 0.0 30 41 41 +11 6 Someday Maybe 3 58.5 6 5.25 2.5 59 57 57 -2 7 Eve's Apple 3 54.5 7 6.75 2.5 54 49 49 -5 8 Ringho 4 52.5 8 7.25 0.0 40 50 50 +10 9 Choc' Late 3 52.5 9 8.25 2.5 42 45 45 +3 10 State Of Play 3 56.0 10 8.75 2.5 57 52 52 -5 11 Centrefold 2 55.0 11 9.25 1.5 55 52 52 -3 12 Silver Seven 3 52.0 12 9.75 2.5 33 44 44 +11 13 Magical Stones 3 54.0 13 13.75 2.5 50 48 48 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Commander Of All | 63 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Sicily | 72 | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Smashing Line | 65 | 78 | 65 | +13 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Pacific | 53 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | The Real Deal | 30 | 50 | 41 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Someday Maybe | 59 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Eve's Apple | 54 | 54 | 49 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Ringho | 40 | 60 | 50 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Choc' Late | 42 | 56 | 45 | +11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | State Of Play | 57 | 54 | 52 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Centrefold | 55 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Silver Seven | 33 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | Magical Stones | 50 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points