Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TREVOR LANGE MEMORIAL MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Guy Alexander
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Kakiebos 3 59.5 1 0.00 3.5 72 61 72 +0 2 Nuclear Force 5 58.5 2 0.25 0.0 63 66 66 +3 3 Guy Alexander 3 57.5 3 2.00 3.5 61 61 61 +0 4 Go Dream Machine 3 48.5 4 2.50 3.5 51 43 43 -8 5 In A Blue Moon 2 60.5 5 5.50 0.0 74 70 70 -4 6 Martinique 2 58.0 6 6.75 0.0 69 65 65 -4 7 Flag Bearer 3 59.5 7 7.50 3.5 65 61 61 -4 8 Coromandel 4 56.5 8 14.00 1.0 59 60 60 +1 9 Zoombomber 2 56.0 9 15.00 0.0 65 61 61 -4 99 Fiery Cliffs 3 57.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 56 56 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kakiebos | 72 | 75 | 72 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Nuclear Force | 63 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Guy Alexander Line | 61 | 72 | 61 | +11 | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Go Dream Machine | 51 | 52 | 43 | +9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | In A Blue Moon | 74 | 74 | 70 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Martinique | 69 | 66 | 65 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Flag Bearer | 65 | 60 | 61 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Coromandel | 59 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Zoombomber | 65 | 60 | 61 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fiery Cliffs | - | 60 | 56 | +4 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points