Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: HIGHVELD CHAMPION SPRINTER - THUNDERSTRUCK MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Mount Darwin
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 The Brief 3 59.0 1 0.00 2.5 84 86 84 +0 2 Mount Darwin 3 58.5 2 3.25 2.5 88 88 88 +0 3 Strewn Sky 2 57.5 3 3.35 0.0 86 91 91 +5 4 Total Surrender 5 59.0 4 4.50 0.0 84 92 92 +8 5 Vesuvio 5 56.5 5 6.50 0.0 79 86 86 +7 6 Dark Silver 4 55.5 6 8.50 1.0 82 82 82 +0 7 Absolute Value 3 60.5 7 10.75 2.5 87 89 89 +2 8 George Handel 4 61.0 8 12.00 1.0 93 93 93 +0 99 Leao Alado 2 53.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 80 80 +0 99 Global Impact 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 93 93 +0 99 Claw 4 55.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 82 82 +0 99 Master Ariano 3 57.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 83 83 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Brief | 84 | 90 | 84 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Mount Darwin Line | 88 | 81 | 88 | -7 | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Strewn Sky | 86 | 69 | 91 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Total Surrender | 84 | 74 | 92 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Vesuvio | 79 | 85 | 86 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Dark Silver | 82 | 84 | 82 | +2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Absolute Value | 87 | 84 | 89 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | George Handel | 93 | 85 | 93 | -8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Leao Alado | - | 77 | 80 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Global Impact | - | 74 | 93 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Claw | - | 91 | 82 | +9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Master Ariano | - | 84 | 83 | +1 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points