Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 7 JUNE MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Graduation Time
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Forest Spy           2    57.0    1    0.00     1.5   72    72           72    +0
2    Jewel Cat            2    59.5    2    0.25     1.5   80    77           77    -3
3    Graduation Time      4    55.5    3    2.75     0.0   72    72           72    +0
4    Coastal Path         5    56.0    4    3.25     0.0   70    73           73    +3
5    Captain Tik Tok      5    58.0    5    4.00     0.0   74    77           77    +3
6    Below Deck           4    60.5    6    4.10     0.0   82    82           82    +0
7    Great Melody         3    58.5    7    4.15     2.5   75    73           73    -2
8    Son Of Zeus          3    59.0    8    5.40     2.5   76    74           74    -2
9    On The Road Again    3    60.5    9    6.65     2.5   79    77           77    -2
10   Eyjafjallajokull     2    56.5    10   7.40     1.5   74    71           71    -3
11   Globetonic           6    58.5    11   11.65    0.0   75    78           78    +3
12   Act Naturally        2    59.5    12   14.90    1.5   77    77           77    +0
13   Lady Majorca         4    60.5    13   15.65    0.0   82    82           82    +0
99   Twice The Storm      2    57.5    99   0.00     1.5   -     73           73    +0
99   Symbol Of Love       2    58.5    99   0.00     1.5   -     75           75    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Forest Spy 72 85 72 +13 1.5 -
2 Jewel Cat 80 91 77 +14 1.5 -
3 Graduation Time Line 72 70 72 -2 0.0
4 Coastal Path 70 77 73 +4 0.0 -
5 Captain Tik Tok 74 72 77 -5 0.0 -
6 Below Deck 82 72 82 -10 0.0 -
7 Great Melody 75 79 73 +6 2.5 -
8 Son Of Zeus 76 81 74 +7 2.5 -
9 On The Road Again 79 79 77 +2 2.5 -
10 Eyjafjallajokull 74 86 71 +15 1.5 -
11 Globetonic 75 77 78 -1 0.0 -
12 Act Naturally 77 72 77 -5 1.5 -
13 Lady Majorca 82 62 82 -20 0.0 -
99 Twice The Storm - 73 73 ✓ Match 1.5 -
99 Symbol Of Love - 94 75 +19 1.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points