Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 7 JUNE MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Graduation Time
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Forest Spy 2 57.0 1 0.00 1.5 72 72 72 +0 2 Jewel Cat 2 59.5 2 0.25 1.5 80 77 77 -3 3 Graduation Time 4 55.5 3 2.75 0.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Coastal Path 5 56.0 4 3.25 0.0 70 73 73 +3 5 Captain Tik Tok 5 58.0 5 4.00 0.0 74 77 77 +3 6 Below Deck 4 60.5 6 4.10 0.0 82 82 82 +0 7 Great Melody 3 58.5 7 4.15 2.5 75 73 73 -2 8 Son Of Zeus 3 59.0 8 5.40 2.5 76 74 74 -2 9 On The Road Again 3 60.5 9 6.65 2.5 79 77 77 -2 10 Eyjafjallajokull 2 56.5 10 7.40 1.5 74 71 71 -3 11 Globetonic 6 58.5 11 11.65 0.0 75 78 78 +3 12 Act Naturally 2 59.5 12 14.90 1.5 77 77 77 +0 13 Lady Majorca 4 60.5 13 15.65 0.0 82 82 82 +0 99 Twice The Storm 2 57.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 73 73 +0 99 Symbol Of Love 2 58.5 99 0.00 1.5 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forest Spy | 72 | 85 | 72 | +13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Jewel Cat | 80 | 91 | 77 | +14 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Graduation Time Line | 72 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Coastal Path | 70 | 77 | 73 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Captain Tik Tok | 74 | 72 | 77 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Below Deck | 82 | 72 | 82 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Great Melody | 75 | 79 | 73 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Son Of Zeus | 76 | 81 | 74 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | On The Road Again | 79 | 79 | 77 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Eyjafjallajokull | 74 | 86 | 71 | +15 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Globetonic | 75 | 77 | 78 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Act Naturally | 77 | 72 | 77 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Lady Majorca | 82 | 62 | 82 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Twice The Storm | - | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Symbol Of Love | - | 94 | 75 | +19 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points