Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 67 APPRENTICE HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
High Velocity
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Camora 4 56.0 1 0.00 1.5 62 64 62 +0 2 Forest Jump 8 56.5 2 1.20 0.0 68 72 72 +4 3 High Velocity 4 50.5 3 1.60 1.5 56 56 56 +0 4 Final Destiny 4 58.0 4 2.50 1.5 63 70 70 +7 5 Valencia 4 56.0 5 4.10 1.5 67 65 65 -2 6 Quest For The Best 4 50.5 6 4.40 1.5 56 53 53 -3 7 High Green 7 57.5 7 5.80 0.0 65 70 70 +5 8 Montana Sky 5 51.5 8 6.20 0.0 55 58 58 +3 9 Stand By Me (AUS) 8 52.0 9 9.00 0.0 51 59 59 +8 10 Big Sky Country 4 58.5 10 15.20 1.5 69 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Camora | 62 | 81 | 62 | +19 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Forest Jump | 68 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | High Velocity Line | 56 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Final Destiny | 63 | 50 | 70 | -20 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Valencia | 67 | 69 | 65 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Quest For The Best | 56 | 76 | 53 | +23 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | High Green | 65 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Montana Sky | 55 | 51 | 58 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Stand By Me (AUS) | 51 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Big Sky Country | 69 | 51 | 69 | -18 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points