Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: OK GRAND CHALLENGE (Grade 1) (Open/6th leg Open Series)
Line Horse
Raffles
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Buster Barnes 2 52.0 1 0.00 0.0 86 82 82 -4 2 Raffles 2 62.0 2 1.00 0.0 106 106 106 +0 3 Raining Again 6 52.0 3 1.50 0.0 84 85 85 +1 4 Ideal View 6 60.5 4 1.60 0.0 101 102 102 +1 5 Citrusdal 8 56.5 5 1.70 0.0 93 94 94 +1 6 Action Zone 3 54.0 6 1.80 2.0 88 85 85 -3 7 Tradition 4 52.0 7 1.90 1.0 84 83 83 -1 8 Wantage 8 56.0 8 2.00 0.0 92 93 93 +1 9 Jet Mirage 3 61.5 9 2.10 2.0 103 100 100 -3 10 Majestic Warrior 2 54.5 10 2.20 0.0 89 90 90 +1 11 Var Aglow 5 55.5 11 2.30 0.0 91 91 91 +0 12 Jaeger Moon 7 55.5 12 2.80 0.0 91 91 91 +0 13 Abayyaan 3 59.5 13 3.80 2.0 99 94 94 -5 14 Admirals Chance 5 53.5 14 4.80 0.0 87 85 85 -2 15 Holy Land 6 59.5 15 8.80 0.0 99 97 97 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buster Barnes | 86 | 101 | 82 | +19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Raffles Line | 106 | 105 | 106 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Raining Again | 84 | 73 | 85 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Ideal View | 101 | 90 | 102 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Citrusdal | 93 | 81 | 94 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Action Zone | 88 | 90 | 85 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Tradition | 84 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Wantage | 92 | 78 | 93 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Jet Mirage | 103 | 100 | 100 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Majestic Warrior | 89 | 86 | 90 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Var Aglow | 91 | 84 | 91 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Jaeger Moon | 91 | 97 | 91 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Abayyaan | 99 | 94 | 94 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 14 | Admirals Chance | 87 | 77 | 85 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Holy Land | 99 | 97 | 97 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points