Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: HOLLYWOODBETS SUPER LEAGUE DEVON AIR STAKES (Listed) (For 2yof R100 000 Win CRS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Whistle The Tune 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 - - - +0 2 Varvara 2 60.0 2 0.70 0.0 - - - +0 3 Dark Winter 2 60.0 3 3.60 0.0 - - - +0 4 Scars Of War 2 60.0 4 3.90 0.0 - - - +0 5 Care Forgot 3 60.0 5 4.30 1.0 - - - +0 6 Forward Motion 3 60.0 6 5.20 1.0 - - - +0 7 Siberian Winter 3 60.0 7 6.90 1.0 - - - +0 8 Safe And Sound 3 60.0 8 8.10 1.0 - - - +0 9 We Will Rock You 3 60.0 9 8.20 1.0 - - - +0 10 You Bring Me Joy 3 60.0 10 10.50 1.0 - - - +0 99 Khethiwe's Destiny 3 60.0 99 0.00 1.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whistle The Tune | - | 116 | - | +116 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Varvara | - | 98 | - | +98 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Dark Winter | - | 82 | - | +82 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Scars Of War | - | 94 | - | +94 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Care Forgot | - | 102 | - | +102 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Forward Motion | - | 98 | - | +98 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Siberian Winter | - | 79 | - | +79 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Safe And Sound | - | 92 | - | +92 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | We Will Rock You | - | 77 | - | +77 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | You Bring Me Joy | - | 77 | - | +77 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Khethiwe's Destiny | - | 92 | - | - | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points