Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CAPE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 74 & below)

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Line Horse
Shifting Path
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Major Apollo         2    58.5    1    0.00     1.0   69    67           67    -2
2    Shifting Path        2    58.5    2    1.25     1.0   67    67           67    +0
3    Rattlesnake          3    60.0    3    2.50     2.0   86    68           76    -10
4    A Thousand Kisses    2    52.5    4    3.75     1.0   64    55           55    -9
5    William West         2    60.0    5    4.25     1.0   73    70           70    -3
6    Tried And True       5    57.0    6    4.35     0.0   69    66           66    -3
7    Rougarouin           4    60.0    7    4.40     2.5   72    67           67    -5
8    Lovers Lane          2    51.5    8    5.65     1.0   52    53           53    +1
9    King Mo              2    52.5    9    8.40     1.0   56    55           55    -1
10   Wordsworth           7    57.0    10   15.40    0.0   65    66           66    +1
99   Xplicit Content      4    51.0    99   0.00     2.5   -     49           49    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Major Apollo 69 72 67 +5 1.0 -
2 Shifting Path Line 67 62 67 -5 1.0
3 Rattlesnake 86 85 76 +9 2.0 -
4 A Thousand Kisses 64 54 55 -1 1.0 -
5 William West 73 51 70 -19 1.0 -
6 Tried And True 69 75 66 +9 0.0 -
7 Rougarouin 72 69 67 +2 2.5 -
8 Lovers Lane 52 58 53 +5 1.0 -
9 King Mo 56 53 55 -2 1.0 -
10 Wordsworth 65 65 66 -1 0.0 -
99 Xplicit Content - 58 49 +9 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points