Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: www.tabgold.co.za MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Voldemort
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Winter Waves 7 54.0 1 0.00 0.0 74 77 74 +0 2 Voldemort 6 56.5 2 0.30 0.0 82 82 82 +0 3 Strawberry Stinger 2 54.5 3 1.50 1.0 77 76 76 -1 4 Savantrix 4 57.0 4 2.20 2.5 82 78 78 -4 5 Parmenion 5 57.5 5 2.50 0.0 81 84 84 +3 6 Irish Luck 2 55.5 6 4.40 1.0 79 78 78 -1 7 Licence To Thrill 4 58.0 7 5.40 2.5 84 80 80 -4 8 Andy Coogle 2 57.0 8 5.80 1.0 82 81 81 -1 9 Teerex 4 55.5 9 6.00 2.5 79 75 75 -4 10 Music Is Life 2 60.0 10 24.00 1.0 86 87 87 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winter Waves | 74 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Voldemort Line | 82 | 81 | 82 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Strawberry Stinger | 77 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Savantrix | 82 | 90 | 78 | +12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Parmenion | 81 | 78 | 84 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Irish Luck | 79 | 72 | 78 | -6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Licence To Thrill | 84 | 98 | 80 | +18 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Andy Coogle | 82 | 83 | 81 | +2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Teerex | 79 | 66 | 75 | -9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Music Is Life | 86 | 71 | 87 | -16 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points