Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: FOLLOW GOLD CIRCLE ON FACEBOOK FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Mystique Rouge
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Green Valkyrie 4 60.5 1 0.00 0.5 70 66 70 +0 2 Mystique Rouge 3 55.5 2 2.10 1.5 57 57 57 +0 3 Calling All Angels 2 60.5 3 3.90 0.0 70 68 68 -2 4 Purple Flower 3 60.5 4 4.90 1.5 67 64 64 -3 5 Pretty Analia 5 59.0 5 6.20 0.0 64 64 64 +0 6 Ocean Palace 3 58.5 6 6.50 1.5 69 60 60 -9 7 Drive By 6 51.0 7 7.40 0.0 56 48 48 -8 8 Gelsomina 3 56.0 8 9.50 1.5 58 55 55 -3 9 Duchess Of Gold 2 59.0 9 20.70 0.0 64 64 64 +0 99 Global Secret 3 61.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 65 65 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green Valkyrie | 70 | 74 | 70 | +4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Mystique Rouge Line | 57 | 62 | 57 | +5 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Calling All Angels | 70 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Purple Flower | 67 | 74 | 64 | +10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Pretty Analia | 64 | 61 | 64 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ocean Palace | 69 | 63 | 60 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Drive By | 56 | 68 | 48 | +20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Gelsomina | 58 | 55 | 55 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Duchess Of Gold | 64 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Global Secret | - | 66 | 65 | +1 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points