Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 67 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Brass Bell
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
7 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Bally Magic          6    54.0    1    0.00     0.0   55    54           55    +0
2    Count Marsh          7    56.0    2    0.75     0.0   59    62           62    +3
3    Heaven's Will        3    56.5    3    2.25     1.0   71    60           61    -10
4    Brass Bell           8    56.0    4    3.35     0.0   59    59           59    +0
5    Final Destiny        4    52.5    5    3.95     0.5   52    51           51    -1
6    Space Cowboy         3    61.5    6    4.85     1.0   70    67           67    -3
7    Son Of Silk          4    59.5    7    5.15     0.5   66    64           64    -2
8    Forest Jump          8    59.0    8    6.05     0.0   68    64           64    -4
9    Happy Wanderer       5    58.0    9    7.25     0.0   63    62           62    -1
10   Victor Rail          5    57.5    10   10.25    0.0   62    61           61    -1
99   Political Party      2    59.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     65           65    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Bally Magic 55 60 55 +5 0.0 -
2 Count Marsh 59 52 62 -10 0.0 -
3 Heaven's Will 71 62 61 +1 1.0 -
4 Brass Bell Line 59 55 59 -4 0.0
5 Final Destiny 52 50 51 -1 0.5 -
6 Space Cowboy 70 67 67 ✓ Match 1.0 -
7 Son Of Silk 66 65 64 +1 0.5 -
8 Forest Jump 68 62 64 -2 0.0 -
9 Happy Wanderer 63 55 62 -7 0.0 -
10 Victor Rail 62 61 61 ✓ Match 0.0 -
99 Political Party - 66 65 +1 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points