Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (Fillies) (For 2 yof R100 000 Win CRS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 6
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 6
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 6
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Confetti 2 60.0 1 0.00 1.0 - - - +0 2 Cape Flower 3 60.0 2 4.50 2.0 - - - +0 3 Queen Of Jazz 2 60.0 3 6.75 1.0 - - - +0 4 Extraction 2 60.0 4 8.00 1.0 - - - +0 5 Blueberry Blue 2 60.0 5 8.10 1.0 - - - +0 6 One Wish 2 60.0 6 15.35 1.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Confetti | - | 81 | - | +81 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cape Flower | - | 57 | - | +57 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Queen Of Jazz | - | 63 | - | +63 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Extraction | - | 54 | - | +54 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Blueberry Blue | - | 75 | - | +75 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | One Wish | - | 60 | - | +60 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points