Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: www.tabgold.co.za MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Future Flo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 French Flame 2 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 - 71 6 +6 2 Red Mountain 4 60.0 2 1.60 0.5 74 81 81 +7 3 Future Flo 4 58.5 3 3.20 0.5 77 77 77 +0 4 Magma Magic 4 60.0 4 3.80 0.5 69 79 79 +10 5 I Salute You 3 56.0 5 4.05 1.0 - 70 70 +70 6 Whereverilaymyhat 4 60.0 6 5.05 0.5 - 78 78 +78 7 James Fitzjames 2 56.0 7 5.95 0.0 - 71 71 +71 8 The Mikado 3 56.0 8 6.00 1.0 - 69 69 +69 9 Vhagar 2 56.0 9 7.00 0.0 - 71 71 +71 10 Evies Horizon 2 60.0 10 7.70 0.0 67 79 79 +12 11 Son Of Erupt 2 56.0 11 7.75 0.0 - 71 71 +71 12 Global Ruler 2 60.0 12 8.55 0.0 69 79 79 +10 13 Doin' Time 5 60.0 13 8.85 0.0 61 79 79 +18 14 Amigo 4 60.0 14 9.55 0.5 - 78 78 +78 99 Black Platina 2 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 71 71 +0 99 Visionary Dreamer 3 56.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 69 69 +0 99 Tibbott Bourke 4 60.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | French Flame | - | 82 | 6 | +76 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Red Mountain | 74 | 77 | 81 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Future Flo Line | 77 | 95 | 77 | +18 | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | Magma Magic | 69 | 81 | 79 | +2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | I Salute You | - | 112 | 70 | +42 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Whereverilaymyhat | - | 68 | 78 | -10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | James Fitzjames | - | 66 | 71 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | The Mikado | - | 84 | 69 | +15 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Vhagar | - | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Evies Horizon | 67 | 63 | 79 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Son Of Erupt | - | 74 | 71 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Global Ruler | 69 | 63 | 79 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Doin' Time | 61 | 54 | 79 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Amigo | - | 64 | 78 | -14 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Black Platina | - | 65 | 71 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Visionary Dreamer | - | 57 | 69 | -12 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tibbott Bourke | - | 51 | 78 | -27 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points