Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MR 82 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Mocha Frappe
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Trois Trois Quatre 5 61.5 1 0.00 0.0 85 88 85 +0 2 Mocha Frappe 2 55.0 2 3.75 0.0 76 76 76 +0 3 Claw 4 58.0 3 4.00 1.0 82 80 80 -2 4 Celtic Rush 5 58.5 4 7.00 0.0 79 82 82 +3 5 Weather Wizard 3 60.0 5 7.05 2.0 86 81 81 -5 6 Blackberry Breeze 4 58.5 6 9.50 1.0 83 80 80 -3 7 Circle Of Grace 4 57.5 7 14.00 1.0 81 78 78 -3 8 Leao Alado 2 56.5 8 26.00 0.0 78 78 78 +0 99 Pocket Watch 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 85 85 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trois Trois Quatre | 85 | 87 | 85 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mocha Frappe Line | 76 | 68 | 76 | -8 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Claw | 82 | 91 | 80 | +11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Celtic Rush | 79 | 69 | 82 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Weather Wizard | 86 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Blackberry Breeze | 83 | 71 | 80 | -9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Circle Of Grace | 81 | 51 | 78 | -27 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Leao Alado | 78 | 77 | 78 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Pocket Watch | - | 83 | 85 | -2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points