Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: BOOK FOR JULY DAY IN JOZI 0116811796 MIDDLE STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 101 and below)
Line Horse
Breeze Over
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Raiseahallelujah 7 62.0 1 0.00 0.0 99 95 95 -4 2 Breeze Over 5 60.0 2 0.40 0.0 97 97 97 +0 3 Mambo Come Tesio 3 54.0 3 3.50 3.0 85 75 75 -10 4 Vesuvio 5 48.0 4 3.75 0.0 79 69 69 -10 5 Arlington Action 6 52.0 5 5.25 0.0 80 75 75 -5 6 I Am Regal 5 50.0 6 7.50 0.0 80 71 71 -9 7 Jet Dynasty 3 54.0 7 7.60 3.0 85 73 75 -10 8 Prime Example 2 56.0 8 8.25 0.0 89 83 83 -6 9 Afraad 8 54.0 9 9.75 0.0 85 79 79 -6 10 Twenty Drachma's 4 56.0 10 12.75 1.0 92 81 82 -10 11 Absolute Value 3 56.0 11 19.75 3.0 87 77 77 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raiseahallelujah | 99 | 103 | 95 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Breeze Over Line | 97 | 99 | 97 | +2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Mambo Come Tesio | 85 | 80 | 75 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Vesuvio | 79 | 85 | 69 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Arlington Action | 80 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | I Am Regal | 80 | 75 | 71 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Jet Dynasty | 85 | 82 | 75 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Prime Example | 89 | 93 | 83 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Afraad | 85 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Twenty Drachma's | 92 | 83 | 82 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Absolute Value | 87 | 84 | 77 | +7 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points