Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: FOLLOW GOLD CIRCLE ON FACEBOOK MIDDLE STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 94 and below)

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Line Horse
Marauding Horde
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Master Fuego         3    60.0    1    0.00     2.0   97    91           91    -6
2    Last One Standing    3    58.0    2    0.90     2.0   90    91           91    +1
3    Marauding Horde      4    60.0    3    1.80     1.0   96    96           96    +0
4    African Dusk         5    53.5    4    2.70     0.0   74    84           84    +10
5    Down By The River    2    55.0    5    3.00     0.0   81    87           87    +6
6    Golden Peace         2    59.0    6    3.20     0.0   89    95           95    +6
7    Ninety Nine Heros    2    58.0    7    4.30     0.0   90    91           91    +1
8    Lucky Miss           3    55.5    8    4.70     2.0   89    82           82    -7
9    Mountainsofthemoon   2    54.5    9    4.95     0.0   85    84           84    -1
10   Pascali              3    51.0    10   5.00     2.0   69    73           73    +4
11   Ancient World        2    58.0    11   5.25     0.0   92    91           91    -1
12   Every Cloud          3    53.0    12   6.85     2.0   73    77           77    +4
13   Quantifier           2    56.0    13   10.05    0.0   80    87           87    +7
99   Bristol Hercules     2    55.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     85           85    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Master Fuego 97 102 91 +11 2.0 -
2 Last One Standing 90 93 91 +2 2.0 -
3 Marauding Horde Line 96 112 96 +16 1.0
4 African Dusk 74 83 84 -1 0.0 -
5 Down By The River 81 95 87 +8 0.0 -
6 Golden Peace 89 105 95 +10 0.0 -
7 Ninety Nine Heros 90 83 91 -8 0.0 -
8 Lucky Miss 89 82 82 ✓ Match 2.0 -
9 Mountainsofthemoon 85 65 84 -19 0.0 -
10 Pascali 69 68 73 -5 2.0 -
11 Ancient World 92 85 91 -6 0.0 -
12 Every Cloud 73 72 77 -5 2.0 -
13 Quantifier 80 74 87 -13 0.0 -
99 Bristol Hercules - 87 85 +2 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points