Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 88 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
La Divina
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Patants Heir         3    56.0    1    0.00     2.0   82    83           82    +0
2    Shanta's Pride       3    55.5    2    1.05     2.0   79    82           82    +3
3    La Divina            4    55.5    3    1.55     2.5   81    81           81    +0
4    Chelsea Flower       6    53.5    4    2.85     0.0   75    82           82    +7
5    Mvulazana            3    59.0    5    3.05     2.0   86    89           89    +3
6    Princess Arlowe      2    60.5    6    3.35     1.0   91    94           94    +3
7    Noble Storm          3    54.0    7    3.95     2.0   79    79           79    +0
8    Stormy Choice        4    57.0    8    4.65     2.5   84    84           84    +0
9    There She Goes       6    59.5    9    4.95     0.0   87    94           94    +7
10   Pelargonium          3    59.5    10   5.85     2.0   87    90           90    +3
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Patants Heir 82 90 82 +8 2.0 -
2 Shanta's Pride 79 88 82 +6 2.0 -
3 La Divina Line 81 77 81 -4 2.5
4 Chelsea Flower 75 77 82 -5 0.0 -
5 Mvulazana 86 82 89 -7 2.0 -
6 Princess Arlowe 91 86 94 -8 1.0 -
7 Noble Storm 79 78 79 -1 2.0 -
8 Stormy Choice 84 81 84 -3 2.5 -
9 There She Goes 87 77 94 -17 0.0 -
10 Pelargonium 87 84 90 -6 2.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points