Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 FM 80 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Rosy Lemon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Hillary Step 3 55.0 1 0.00 1.5 81 63 81 +0 2 Dimako's Jet 4 57.0 2 0.70 0.5 77 74 74 -3 3 Elembee 5 62.0 3 1.00 0.0 84 84 84 +0 4 Rosy Lemon 5 60.0 4 1.10 0.0 80 80 80 +0 5 Regal Daughter 2 59.0 5 1.50 0.0 81 77 77 -4 6 Springer 2 56.5 6 2.00 0.0 76 72 72 -4 7 Primrose Path 2 59.0 7 2.30 0.0 78 76 76 -2 8 Mount Etna 4 58.5 8 2.75 0.5 80 74 74 -6 9 Ode To The Ocean 2 54.0 9 5.50 0.0 68 64 64 -4 99 Sneak Preview 3 55.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hillary Step | 81 | 82 | 81 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Dimako's Jet | 77 | 93 | 74 | +19 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Elembee | 84 | 77 | 84 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Rosy Lemon Line | 80 | 72 | 80 | -8 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Regal Daughter | 81 | 80 | 77 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Springer | 76 | 75 | 72 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Primrose Path | 78 | 77 | 76 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mount Etna | 80 | 79 | 74 | +5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Ode To The Ocean | 68 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sneak Preview | - | 63 | 63 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points