Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 4 JULY MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Open Highway
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Southern Blaze 3 59.0 1 0.00 1.5 78 76 78 +0 2 Golden Pavilion 2 56.0 2 1.20 0.0 75 77 77 +2 3 Open Highway 4 60.5 3 1.50 0.5 84 84 84 +0 4 The Playboy Bomber 4 55.5 4 2.50 0.5 82 73 73 -9 5 Gimmealight 3 59.5 5 2.90 1.5 79 79 79 +0 6 Vitellius 5 58.5 6 3.60 0.0 77 79 79 +2 7 Care Taker 4 58.0 7 4.00 0.5 79 77 77 -2 8 Feel All Right 2 55.5 8 4.10 0.0 74 73 73 -1 9 Peace Treaty 3 53.5 9 4.35 1.5 88 65 78 -10 10 Laughing William 5 55.5 10 5.35 0.0 71 72 72 +1 11 Sovereigns Call 4 56.0 11 6.35 0.5 75 72 72 -3 12 Archimides 3 54.0 12 7.35 1.5 68 66 66 -2 13 Tamil Tigress 2 58.5 13 7.85 0.0 80 78 78 -2 14 Courageous Cat 3 60.5 14 15.85 1.5 81 79 79 -2 99 Super Agra 4 52.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 64 64 +0 99 Vava Vegas 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 65 65 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern Blaze | 78 | 89 | 78 | +11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Golden Pavilion | 75 | 95 | 77 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Open Highway Line | 84 | 94 | 84 | +10 | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | The Playboy Bomber | 82 | 88 | 73 | +15 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Gimmealight | 79 | 77 | 79 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Vitellius | 77 | 73 | 79 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Care Taker | 79 | 76 | 77 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Feel All Right | 74 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Peace Treaty | 88 | 69 | 78 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Laughing William | 71 | 75 | 72 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Sovereigns Call | 75 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Archimides | 68 | 70 | 66 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Tamil Tigress | 80 | 77 | 78 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Courageous Cat | 81 | 81 | 79 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Super Agra | - | 60 | 64 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Vava Vegas | - | 58 | 65 | -7 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points