Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING TUESDAY 8 MARCH MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Line Of Power
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Storm Chaser 4 58.0 1 0.00 4.0 70 70 70 +0 2 Brass Bell 8 58.0 2 0.25 0.0 70 78 78 +8 3 Line Of Power 4 61.5 3 0.75 4.0 77 77 77 +0 4 Variety Breeze 4 62.0 4 1.25 4.0 78 78 78 +0 5 Sanctity 4 52.0 5 3.75 4.0 58 58 58 +0 6 Bold Resolve 4 54.5 6 4.50 4.0 63 63 63 +0 7 Tevye 4 56.0 7 5.25 4.0 69 66 66 -3 8 Soft Spot 3 60.0 8 6.50 3.5 79 75 75 -4 9 Magic Blaze 4 57.0 9 6.55 4.0 73 68 68 -5 10 Jaquar Cat 3 53.0 10 6.60 3.5 65 61 61 -4 11 Razor Red 3 60.0 11 6.70 3.5 79 75 75 -4 12 Son Of Zeus 3 59.5 12 7.95 3.5 78 74 74 -4 13 Livingstone 4 52.5 13 8.70 4.0 40 59 59 +19 14 Quick Wit 5 57.5 14 9.20 0.0 69 77 77 +8 15 Quenanza 4 56.5 15 12.45 4.0 67 67 67 +0 16 Emerald Flame 5 56.0 16 99.99 0.0 66 74 74 +8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Storm Chaser | 70 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Brass Bell | 70 | 55 | 78 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Line Of Power Line | 77 | 73 | 77 | -4 | 4.0 | ||
| 4 | Variety Breeze | 78 | 62 | 78 | -16 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Sanctity | 58 | 61 | 58 | +3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Bold Resolve | 63 | 91 | 63 | +28 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Tevye | 69 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Soft Spot | 79 | 69 | 75 | -6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Magic Blaze | 73 | 71 | 68 | +3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Jaquar Cat | 65 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Razor Red | 79 | 63 | 75 | -12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Son Of Zeus | 78 | 81 | 74 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 13 | Livingstone | 40 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 4.0 | - | |
| 14 | Quick Wit | 69 | 69 | 77 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Quenanza | 67 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 4.0 | - | |
| 16 | Emerald Flame | 66 | 35 | 74 | -39 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points