Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CAPE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 74 & below)
Line Horse
Mohandas
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Daimyo 3 61.5 1 0.00 3.0 80 74 74 -6 2 Mister Monocle 4 61.5 2 4.50 1.0 74 79 79 +5 3 Mohandas 3 60.0 3 6.00 3.0 71 71 71 +0 4 Holding Thumbs 4 60.0 4 7.50 1.0 77 75 75 -2 5 Ignatius 2 61.5 5 10.25 0.0 73 80 80 +7 6 Sudden Song 3 61.5 6 11.75 3.0 74 74 74 +0 7 Family Power 4 54.5 7 13.00 1.0 72 64 64 -8 8 Tothemoonandback 5 59.0 8 15.00 0.0 67 75 75 +8 99 Lockheedlightning 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 77 77 +0 99 Baton Rouge 4 61.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 78 78 +0 99 Twice The Master 3 54.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 59 59 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daimyo | 80 | 105 | 74 | +31 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mister Monocle | 74 | 71 | 79 | -8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mohandas Line | 71 | 64 | 71 | -7 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Holding Thumbs | 77 | 119 | 75 | +44 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Ignatius | 73 | 70 | 80 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sudden Song | 74 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Family Power | 72 | 87 | 64 | +23 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tothemoonandback | 67 | 69 | 75 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lockheedlightning | - | 66 | 77 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Baton Rouge | - | 69 | 78 | -9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Twice The Master | - | 58 | 59 | -1 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points