Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: FOLLOW GOLD CIRCLE ON FACEBOOK MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Rototo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Flyingcool 3 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 73 72 72 -1 2 Dapper 2 56.0 2 0.80 0.0 - 71 71 +71 3 Captain Marsala 2 60.0 3 1.20 0.0 74 79 79 +5 4 Landseer 4 60.0 4 1.80 0.5 - 77 77 +77 5 The Mikado 3 56.0 5 2.40 1.5 - 66 66 +66 6 Rototo 3 60.0 6 3.60 1.5 73 73 73 +0 7 Uncle Lucky 2 58.5 7 4.00 0.0 59 73 73 +14 8 Moremi Gorge 3 60.0 8 5.20 1.5 70 72 72 +2 9 Many Waters 3 56.0 9 9.70 1.5 - 64 64 +64 10 Jupiter Hills 3 60.0 10 10.20 1.5 - 72 72 +72 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flyingcool | 73 | 81 | 72 | +9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Dapper | - | 72 | 71 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Captain Marsala | 74 | 68 | 79 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Landseer | - | 67 | 77 | -10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | The Mikado | - | 84 | 66 | +18 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Rototo Line | 73 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 1.5 | ||
| 7 | Uncle Lucky | 59 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Moremi Gorge | 70 | 67 | 72 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Many Waters | - | 66 | 64 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Jupiter Hills | - | 60 | 72 | -12 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points