Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 73 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Rafeef's Choice
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Khethiwe's Destiny   3    58.5    1    0.00     2.0   87    66           87    +0
2    Rafeef's Choice      5    59.5    2    2.40     0.0   72    72           72    +0
3    Spirited Flight      5    53.5    3    2.80     0.0   60    60           60    +0
4    Maggie Smith         2    60.5    4    4.20     1.0   74    72           72    -2
5    Mamas Baby           4    57.5    5    4.70     2.5   70    63           63    -7
6    One Smart Cookie     4    60.0    6    5.10     2.5   75    68           68    -7
6    Aspoestertjie        5    59.5    6    5.10     0.0   72    72           72    +0
8    Twinklelittlestar    2    59.5    8    5.70     1.0   74    70           70    -4
9    Emerald Green        4    53.5    9    5.85     2.5   70    55           60    -10
10   Miss Gibson          3    55.0    10   6.35     2.0   63    59           59    -4
11   Umhlali              2    57.0    11   10.95    1.0   70    65           65    -5
12   Dame Mazona          2    60.5    12   20.25    1.0   76    72           72    -4
99   Miss Arlberg         2    59.5    99   0.00     1.0   -     70           70    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Khethiwe's Destiny 87 92 87 +5 2.0 -
2 Rafeef's Choice Line 72 71 72 -1 0.0
3 Spirited Flight 60 61 60 +1 0.0 -
4 Maggie Smith 74 72 72 ✓ Match 1.0 -
5 Mamas Baby 70 65 63 +2 2.5 -
6 One Smart Cookie 75 95 68 +27 2.5 -
6 Aspoestertjie 72 68 72 -4 0.0 -
8 Twinklelittlestar 74 66 70 -4 1.0 -
9 Emerald Green 70 75 60 +15 2.5 -
10 Miss Gibson 63 56 59 -3 2.0 -
11 Umhlali 70 67 65 +2 1.0 -
12 Dame Mazona 76 68 72 -4 1.0 -
99 Miss Arlberg - 74 70 +4 1.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points