Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY CONDITIONAL MAIDEN (F & M) (Mdns 3 runs or more & NR 66 or less R5 000 Win bonus ROA Mem)
Line Horse
Milliondollar Girl
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Milliondollar Girl 2 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 57 57 57 +0 2 Rain Bird 2 58.5 2 1.25 0.0 58 60 60 +2 3 Tune Again 6 58.0 3 4.25 0.0 49 56 56 +7 4 Double Trade 2 54.0 4 5.00 0.0 70 47 60 -10 5 Royal Venus 2 59.0 5 5.50 0.0 53 57 57 +4 6 Venetian Moonlight 3 60.0 6 7.75 1.0 60 57 57 -3 7 Forest Fantasy 3 57.0 7 9.00 1.0 30 51 51 +21 8 Dirty Mimosa 2 57.0 8 10.75 0.0 61 53 53 -8 9 Princess Raya 2 57.5 9 13.25 0.0 47 54 54 +7 99 Vintage Crystal 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 59 59 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milliondollar Girl Line | 57 | 61 | 57 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 2 | Rain Bird | 58 | 70 | 60 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Tune Again | 49 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Double Trade | 70 | 67 | 60 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Royal Venus | 53 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Venetian Moonlight | 60 | 58 | 57 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Forest Fantasy | 30 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Dirty Mimosa | 61 | 56 | 53 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Princess Raya | 47 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Vintage Crystal | - | 59 | 59 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points