Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 66)

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Line Horse
Wylie Jack
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Shifting Path        2    60.5    1    0.00     1.0   67    65           65    -2
2    Wylie Jack           6    57.5    2    1.50     0.0   61    61           61    +0
3    Gravity              4    59.0    3    3.00     2.5   66    59           59    -7
4    Xplicit Content      4    52.5    4    4.50     2.5   53    46           46    -7
5    Lovers Lane          2    53.0    5    4.55     1.0   51    50           50    -1
6    Mr Frostie           4    54.5    6    5.30     2.5   55    50           50    -5
7    Question Of Faith    2    61.0    7    7.30     1.0   70    66           66    -4
99   Champagne Mac        4    61.0    99   0.00     2.5   -     63           63    +0
99   Tambourine Man       5    59.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     65           65    +0
99   Seeking Peace        3    55.0    99   0.00     2.0   -     52           52    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Shifting Path 67 62 65 -3 1.0 -
2 Wylie Jack Line 61 61 61 ✓ Match 0.0
3 Gravity 66 63 59 +4 2.5 -
4 Xplicit Content 53 58 46 +12 2.5 -
5 Lovers Lane 51 58 50 +8 1.0 -
6 Mr Frostie 55 51 50 +1 2.5 -
7 Question Of Faith 70 51 66 -15 1.0 -
99 Champagne Mac - 55 63 -8 2.5 -
99 Tambourine Man - 64 65 -1 0.0 -
99 Seeking Peace - 55 52 +3 2.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points