Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R100 000 Win CRS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sakurajima 3 60.0 1 0.00 1.0 - - - +0 2 Walt Whitman 2 60.0 2 3.00 0.0 - - - +0 3 Union Rose 3 60.0 3 5.50 1.0 - - - +0 4 King's Sailor 3 60.0 4 6.00 1.0 - - - +0 5 Donny's Boy 3 60.0 5 8.00 1.0 - - - +0 6 War Of Hearts 3 60.0 6 8.75 1.0 - - - +0 7 Willowcede 2 60.0 7 9.50 0.0 - - - +0 8 Deco Var 2 60.0 8 13.25 0.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sakurajima | - | 90 | - | +90 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Walt Whitman | - | 88 | - | +88 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Union Rose | - | 69 | - | +69 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | King's Sailor | - | 67 | - | +67 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Donny's Boy | - | 68 | - | +68 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | War Of Hearts | - | 52 | - | +52 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Willowcede | - | 67 | - | +67 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Deco Var | - | 71 | - | +71 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points