Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: WSB SA CLASSIC (Grade 1) (For 3 year-olds (2nd Leg of SA Triple Crown))
Line Horse
Aragosta
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Red Saxon 3 60.0 1 0.00 4.5 107 109 109 +2 2 Safe Passage 3 60.0 2 0.25 4.5 116 109 109 -7 3 Captain Lannister 3 60.0 3 1.25 4.5 105 113 113 +8 4 Super Excited 3 60.0 4 4.50 4.5 107 109 109 +2 5 Aragosta 3 60.0 5 4.55 4.5 109 109 109 +0 6 William Robertson 6 60.0 6 7.05 0.0 105 118 118 +13 7 Zeus 3 60.0 7 7.80 4.5 99 109 109 +10 8 Pyromaniac 6 60.0 8 8.55 0.0 113 118 118 +5 9 Outofthedarkness 3 60.0 9 10.80 4.5 110 109 109 -1 10 Platinum Sky 3 60.0 10 26.80 4.5 104 109 109 +5 11 Picture Perfect 3 60.0 11 35.80 4.5 78 109 109 +31 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Red Saxon | 107 | 116 | 109 | +7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Safe Passage | 116 | 108 | 109 | -1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Captain Lannister | 105 | 115 | 113 | +2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Super Excited | 107 | 107 | 109 | -2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Aragosta Line | 109 | 109 | 109 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | ||
| 6 | William Robertson | 105 | 124 | 118 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Zeus | 99 | 117 | 109 | +8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Pyromaniac | 113 | 71 | 118 | -47 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Outofthedarkness | 110 | 101 | 109 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Platinum Sky | 104 | 99 | 109 | -10 | 4.5 | - | |
| 11 | Picture Perfect | 78 | 80 | 109 | -29 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points