Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Theres A Light
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Theres A Light 4 60.0 1 0.00 0.5 78 78 78 +0 2 Pressonregardless 4 60.0 2 1.75 0.5 76 81 81 +5 3 Storm Ahead 4 60.0 3 2.00 0.5 76 81 81 +5 4 Erimitage 4 60.0 4 7.50 0.5 68 78 78 +10 5 Stop The Traffic 4 57.5 5 10.25 0.5 - 73 73 +73 6 Dylan's Champ 3 56.0 6 10.40 1.0 - 69 69 +69 7 Battle Ofthe Bulge 4 60.0 7 10.50 0.5 - 78 78 +78 8 Damascodoro 3 60.0 8 12.50 1.0 62 77 77 +15 9 Mohave Man 2 60.0 9 12.75 0.0 66 79 79 +13 10 Gold Fever 2 56.0 10 21.00 0.0 - 71 71 +71 11 Lake Kivu 3 56.0 11 21.25 1.0 - 69 69 +69 12 Hat Furious 4 60.0 12 22.25 0.5 54 78 78 +24 13 Thomas Rainwater 2 60.0 13 25.75 0.0 58 79 79 +21 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Theres A Light Line | 78 | 76 | 78 | -2 | 0.5 | ||
| 2 | Pressonregardless | 76 | 109 | 81 | +28 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Storm Ahead | 76 | 80 | 81 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 4 | Erimitage | 68 | 62 | 78 | -16 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Stop The Traffic | - | 65 | 73 | -8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Dylan's Champ | - | 87 | 69 | +18 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Battle Ofthe Bulge | - | 60 | 78 | -18 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Damascodoro | 62 | 59 | 77 | -18 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Mohave Man | 66 | 60 | 79 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Gold Fever | - | 59 | 71 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Lake Kivu | - | 30 | 69 | -39 | 1.0 | - | |
| 12 | Hat Furious | 54 | 53 | 78 | -25 | 0.5 | - | |
| 13 | Thomas Rainwater | 58 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points