Official NHA Assessment

Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY OPEN MAIDEN (For Maiden. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Member)

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Line Horse
War Sword
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Ticking Bomb         3    55.5    1    0.00     1.5   65    61           61    -4
2    Ellorix              4    59.0    2    2.75     2.0   72    67           67    -5
3    War Sword            4    58.0    3    4.75     2.0   65    65           65    +0
4    Lady Luck            4    59.5    4    5.00     2.0   73    68           68    -5
5    Consigliere          3    56.0    5    6.00     1.5   69    62           62    -7
6    Smart View           4    49.0    6    9.25     2.0   39    47           47    +8
7    Quiet Whisper        2    52.5    7    20.75    0.5   34    57           57    +23
8    Statesman            2    57.0    8    24.00    0.5   63    66           66    +3
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Ticking Bomb 65 70 61 +9 1.5 -
2 Ellorix 72 100 67 +33 2.0 -
3 War Sword Line 65 58 65 -7 2.0
4 Lady Luck 73 66 68 -2 2.0 -
5 Consigliere 69 70 62 +8 1.5 -
6 Smart View 39 46 47 -1 2.0 -
7 Quiet Whisper 34 53 57 -4 0.5 -
8 Statesman 63 63 66 -3 0.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points