Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: MERIT RATED 60 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Mill Creek
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Emily's Song (ZIM) 4 55.5 1 0.00 1.5 50 43 50 +0 2 Assume 3 53.5 2 1.50 2.5 53 40 43 -10 3 Mill Creek 7 57.0 3 2.00 0.0 52 52 52 +0 4 Sweet Opportunity 3 55.5 4 4.50 2.5 57 41 47 -10 5 Val Gardena 5 55.0 5 5.50 0.0 50 45 45 -5 6 Hawi 4 55.5 6 7.00 1.5 51 43 43 -8 7 Aneksi 4 57.5 7 9.00 1.5 63 47 53 -10 8 Nautical Storm 3 57.0 8 99.00 2.5 60 44 50 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emily's Song (ZIM) | 50 | 66 | 50 | +16 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Assume | 53 | 58 | 43 | +15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Mill Creek Line | 52 | 55 | 52 | +3 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Sweet Opportunity | 57 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Val Gardena | 50 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Hawi | 51 | 47 | 43 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Aneksi | 63 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Nautical Storm | 60 | 60 | 50 | +10 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points