Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Ice Cap
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Willy Meet Again 3 57.0 1 0.00 1.5 - 63 6 +6 2 Komati River 3 57.0 2 4.75 1.5 - 63 63 +63 3 Cat O'clock 3 60.0 3 6.00 1.5 - 69 69 +69 4 Royal Horizon 3 60.0 4 6.75 1.5 59 69 69 +10 5 Ice Cap 3 57.5 5 7.75 1.5 64 64 64 +0 6 Future Date 2 57.0 6 9.00 0.5 - 65 65 +65 7 Pass The Baton 4 60.0 7 9.10 2.0 69 68 68 -1 8 Someday Maybe 3 60.0 8 10.00 1.5 56 69 69 +13 9 Cartagena 4 60.0 9 12.25 2.0 61 68 68 +7 10 Sequestrate 2 57.0 10 13.00 0.5 - 65 65 +65 11 Shes Everything 3 57.0 11 16.75 1.5 - 63 63 +63 99 Paradise Flower 3 60.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 69 69 +0 99 Green Lightning 2 57.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 65 65 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Willy Meet Again | - | 102 | 6 | +96 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Komati River | - | 93 | 63 | +30 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Cat O'clock | - | 71 | 69 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Royal Horizon | 59 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Ice Cap Line | 64 | 54 | 64 | -10 | 1.5 | ||
| 6 | Future Date | - | 93 | 65 | +28 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Pass The Baton | 69 | 48 | 68 | -20 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Someday Maybe | 56 | 56 | 69 | -13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Cartagena | 61 | 77 | 68 | +9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sequestrate | - | 80 | 65 | +15 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Shes Everything | - | 71 | 63 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Paradise Flower | - | 37 | 69 | -32 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Green Lightning | - | 77 | 65 | +12 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points