Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 23 JULY MR 73 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Putins Promise
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
8 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Grand Crescendo 3 59.0 1 0.00 0.5 89 70 89 +0 2 Archimides 3 56.5 2 3.25 0.5 66 67 67 +1 3 Putins Promise 5 60.0 3 5.50 0.0 73 73 73 +0 4 Boom Boom 4 57.5 4 6.75 0.5 70 67 67 -3 5 Prince Of Kildare 4 57.0 5 7.25 0.5 69 66 66 -3 6 Fast Duty 3 58.0 6 8.00 0.5 69 68 68 -1 7 Call Me Master 8 56.5 7 8.90 0.0 66 66 66 +0 8 Thymetoshine 5 52.5 8 9.00 0.0 58 58 58 +0 9 Bob Lee Swagger 4 53.5 9 11.25 0.5 67 59 59 -8 10 Lava Fire 3 53.5 10 13.25 0.5 78 59 68 -10 11 Jet Cat 9 54.0 11 16.00 0.0 61 61 61 +0 12 Sneak Preview 3 59.0 12 16.50 0.5 73 70 70 -3 13 Sail The Sky 4 57.5 13 18.00 0.5 70 67 67 -3 14 Billy Spellbound 2 60.0 14 18.50 0.0 73 73 73 +0 15 His Master's Voice 2 58.0 15 19.25 0.0 69 69 69 +0 16 Parker Getrix 4 56.0 16 99.99 0.5 65 64 64 -1 99 Walled Garden 4 58.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 68 68 +0 99 Written In Stone 9 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 57 57 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grand Crescendo | 89 | 107 | 89 | +18 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Archimides | 66 | 70 | 67 | +3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Putins Promise Line | 73 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Boom Boom | 70 | 81 | 67 | +14 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Prince Of Kildare | 69 | 80 | 66 | +14 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Fast Duty | 69 | 67 | 68 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Call Me Master | 66 | 65 | 66 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Thymetoshine | 58 | 51 | 58 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bob Lee Swagger | 67 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Lava Fire | 78 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Jet Cat | 61 | 60 | 61 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Sneak Preview | 73 | 63 | 70 | -7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 13 | Sail The Sky | 70 | 62 | 67 | -5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 14 | Billy Spellbound | 73 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | His Master's Voice | 69 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 16 | Parker Getrix | 65 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Walled Garden | - | 66 | 68 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Written In Stone | - | 67 | 57 | +10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points