Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: RIDGEMONT GARDEN PROVINCE STAKES (Grade 1) (Fillies and Mares at Weight-For-Age)
Line Horse
Bavarian Beauty
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Humdinger 3 60.0 1 0.00 1.0 116 113 113 -3 2 Happy Chance 2 60.0 2 0.15 0.0 112 115 115 +3 3 Double Grand Slam 2 59.0 3 1.35 0.0 118 116 116 -2 4 Rascova 2 59.0 4 1.60 0.0 119 116 116 -3 5 Bavarian Beauty 2 59.0 5 1.70 0.0 116 116 116 +0 6 Mrs Browning 5 60.0 6 2.00 0.0 118 118 118 +0 7 Asiye Phambili 3 60.0 7 2.05 1.0 111 116 116 +5 8 Red Palace 2 59.0 8 2.10 0.0 108 116 116 +8 9 Silver Sanctuary 4 59.0 9 2.50 0.5 116 114 114 -2 10 Celtic Rumours 5 60.0 10 4.60 0.0 106 115 115 +9 11 Hold My Hand 2 60.0 11 6.20 0.0 114 115 115 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Humdinger | 116 | 119 | 113 | +6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Happy Chance | 112 | 118 | 115 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Double Grand Slam | 118 | 122 | 116 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Rascova | 119 | 122 | 116 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bavarian Beauty Line | 116 | 109 | 116 | -7 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Mrs Browning | 118 | 115 | 118 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Asiye Phambili | 111 | 119 | 116 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Red Palace | 108 | 119 | 116 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Silver Sanctuary | 116 | 117 | 114 | +3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Celtic Rumours | 106 | 104 | 115 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Hold My Hand | 114 | 112 | 115 | -3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points