Official NHA Assessment
Race 12: GAGASI FM - MR 90 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Law Of Success
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Chocolate Soldier 3 57.0 1 0.00 1.5 99 87 99 +0 2 Black Egret 3 61.5 2 0.80 1.5 93 96 96 +3 3 Law Of Success 3 56.0 3 1.55 1.5 85 85 85 +0 4 Warrior Of Royalty 4 56.5 4 3.45 2.0 84 85 85 +1 5 Quandary 5 61.0 5 3.50 0.0 92 98 98 +6 6 Kinshin Sha 4 54.5 6 3.60 2.0 79 81 81 +2 7 Esquevelle 3 59.0 7 3.90 1.5 88 91 91 +3 7 Yamadori 4 61.5 7 3.90 2.0 94 95 95 +1 9 Ride On 2 55.0 9 4.20 0.5 80 85 85 +5 10 Amber Rock 2 57.5 10 4.70 0.5 86 90 90 +4 11 Stormy Seas 4 55.0 11 6.40 2.0 80 82 82 +2 12 B Fiftytwo 4 57.0 12 6.55 2.0 85 86 86 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chocolate Soldier | 99 | 108 | 99 | +9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Black Egret | 93 | 90 | 96 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Law Of Success Line | 85 | 81 | 85 | -4 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Warrior Of Royalty | 84 | 76 | 85 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Quandary | 92 | 88 | 98 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Kinshin Sha | 79 | 62 | 81 | -19 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Esquevelle | 88 | 86 | 91 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Yamadori | 94 | 97 | 95 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ride On | 80 | 87 | 85 | +2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Amber Rock | 86 | 86 | 90 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Stormy Seas | 80 | 77 | 82 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | B Fiftytwo | 85 | 68 | 86 | -18 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points