Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Lets Play Poker
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tyson The Brave 2 57.5 1 0.00 0.5 75 75 75 +0 2 Kwagga Blitz 2 57.0 2 0.40 0.5 - 74 74 +74 3 Lets Play Poker 3 60.0 3 1.30 1.5 78 78 78 +0 4 Tiger Storm 3 57.0 4 3.50 1.5 - 72 72 +72 5 King Harry 4 60.0 5 7.00 2.0 - 77 77 +77 6 Alone Time 4 60.0 6 7.50 2.0 - 77 77 +77 7 The Real Deal 4 58.5 7 8.75 2.0 45 74 74 +29 8 Ringho 4 60.0 8 10.00 2.0 48 77 77 +29 9 Ballarino 3 60.0 9 13.00 1.5 - 78 78 +78 10 Hat Man 4 60.0 10 13.05 2.0 63 77 77 +14 11 Good To Great 3 60.0 11 15.00 1.5 - 78 78 +78 12 Legendary 2 57.0 12 16.25 0.5 - 74 74 +74 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyson The Brave | 75 | 77 | 75 | +2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Kwagga Blitz | - | 79 | 74 | +5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Lets Play Poker Line | 78 | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Tiger Storm | - | 69 | 72 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | King Harry | - | 55 | 77 | -22 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Alone Time | - | 68 | 77 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | The Real Deal | 45 | 50 | 74 | -24 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ringho | 48 | 60 | 77 | -17 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ballarino | - | 49 | 78 | -29 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Hat Man | 63 | 60 | 77 | -17 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Good To Great | - | 56 | 78 | -22 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Legendary | - | 69 | 74 | -5 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points