Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEW TURF CARRIERS VP QUARANTINE STATION MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Final Destiny
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
1 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bally Magic 6 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 60 58 60 +0 2 L'Ultimo 2 53.5 2 0.90 0.0 56 55 55 -1 3 Knight Warrior 5 61.0 3 1.20 0.0 68 70 70 +2 4 Final Destiny 4 52.5 4 1.50 0.5 51 51 51 +0 5 Quick Star 6 58.0 5 1.90 0.0 62 63 63 +1 6 Global Secret 3 61.0 6 2.80 0.5 68 67 67 -1 7 One Irish Rover 5 59.5 7 3.10 0.0 65 65 65 +0 8 Van Meijel 3 56.5 8 15.40 0.5 59 56 56 -3 9 Sir William 3 60.0 9 17.90 0.5 66 63 63 -3 99 Victor Rail 5 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 56 56 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bally Magic | 60 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | L'Ultimo | 56 | 61 | 55 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Knight Warrior | 68 | 74 | 70 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Final Destiny Line | 51 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 0.5 | ||
| 5 | Quick Star | 62 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Global Secret | 68 | 66 | 67 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | One Irish Rover | 65 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Van Meijel | 59 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Sir William | 66 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Victor Rail | - | 61 | 56 | +5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points