Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Perfectly Picked
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Firecracker 4 60.0 1 0.00 0.5 65 66 66 +1 2 November Boogie 3 60.0 2 2.30 1.0 60 67 67 +7 3 Umzolozolo 2 54.5 3 3.80 0.0 - 57 57 +57 4 Dee Day 4 60.0 4 4.40 0.5 68 66 66 -2 5 Perfectly Picked 3 60.0 5 4.50 1.0 65 65 65 +0 6 Hot Lava 3 56.0 6 6.20 1.0 - 57 57 +57 7 Tipperary 3 56.0 7 6.50 1.0 - 57 57 +57 8 Her Royalty 3 56.0 8 9.00 1.0 - 57 57 +57 9 Madame Pompadour 2 60.0 9 9.90 0.0 63 67 67 +4 10 Regina Maris 2 56.0 10 13.80 0.0 - 59 59 +59 11 Midnight Ruby 3 60.0 11 13.95 1.0 - 65 65 +65 99 Morning Of My Life 3 60.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 65 65 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Firecracker | 65 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | November Boogie | 60 | 69 | 67 | +2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Umzolozolo | - | 75 | 57 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Dee Day | 68 | 53 | 66 | -13 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Perfectly Picked Line | 65 | 58 | 65 | -7 | 1.0 | ||
| 6 | Hot Lava | - | 69 | 57 | +12 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Tipperary | - | 64 | 57 | +7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Her Royalty | - | 68 | 57 | +11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Madame Pompadour | 63 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Regina Maris | - | 68 | 59 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Midnight Ruby | - | 20 | 65 | -45 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Morning Of My Life | - | - | 65 | -65 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points