Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: SOCCER ANY15 MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Brandenburg
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Whispers Of War (AU 7 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 64 61 64 +0 2 Extract 3 50.5 2 1.05 3.0 63 44 53 -10 3 Brandenburg 7 58.5 3 2.25 0.0 65 65 65 +0 4 Gimme A Rainbow 4 59.5 4 3.35 1.5 67 62 62 -5 5 Admiral Birnham 3 59.5 5 3.50 3.0 76 59 66 -10 6 The Appeal 6 61.0 6 3.65 0.0 70 68 68 -2 7 Master Vision 5 53.0 7 4.15 0.0 59 52 52 -7 8 Ancient State 5 51.0 8 4.20 0.0 53 48 48 -5 9 Guiseppi's Song 4 59.0 9 4.35 1.5 66 60 60 -6 10 Sovereign Soldier 7 57.5 10 4.75 0.0 63 60 60 -3 11 Walton Hall 5 55.0 11 6.25 0.0 57 55 55 -2 12 Get Carter 4 56.0 12 13.45 1.5 60 54 54 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whispers Of War (AUS) | 64 | 64 | 64 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Extract | 63 | 60 | 53 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Brandenburg Line | 65 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Gimme A Rainbow | 67 | 74 | 62 | +12 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Admiral Birnham | 76 | 68 | 66 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | The Appeal | 70 | 74 | 68 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Master Vision | 59 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ancient State | 53 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Guiseppi's Song | 66 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Sovereign Soldier | 63 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Walton Hall | 57 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Get Carter | 60 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points