Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Fostinovo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Thambi 5 55.5 1 0.00 0.0 71 73 71 +0 2 Fostinovo 3 60.5 2 0.05 1.0 81 81 81 +0 3 Golden Pavilion 2 56.5 3 0.15 0.0 75 75 75 +0 4 Prince Of Kildare 4 53.0 4 2.15 0.5 68 70 70 +2 5 Fast Duty 3 54.0 5 2.35 1.0 68 70 70 +2 6 Run For Cover 5 60.0 6 2.85 0.0 80 84 84 +4 7 Coming In Hot 3 53.5 7 5.50 1.0 67 67 67 +0 8 Vava Vegas 5 52.0 8 6.50 0.0 62 66 66 +4 9 Trippis Tune 3 56.5 9 19.75 1.0 75 73 73 -2 10 Turbo Power 3 59.5 10 27.00 1.0 79 79 79 +0 99 Putins Promise 5 56.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thambi | 71 | 55 | 71 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Fostinovo Line | 81 | 80 | 81 | -1 | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Golden Pavilion | 75 | 95 | 75 | +20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Prince Of Kildare | 68 | 80 | 70 | +10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Fast Duty | 68 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Run For Cover | 80 | 70 | 84 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Coming In Hot | 67 | 76 | 67 | +9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Vava Vegas | 62 | 58 | 66 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Trippis Tune | 75 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Turbo Power | 79 | 83 | 79 | +4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Putins Promise | - | 73 | 75 | -2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points