Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: www.trackandball.co.za MR 83 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Flashy Kaitrina
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Goliath Heron 6 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 81 86 81 +0 2 Flashy Kaitrina 5 52.0 2 2.00 0.0 72 72 72 +0 3 Fateful Day 3 55.0 3 2.30 3.5 81 71 71 -10 4 Ideal Act 3 57.5 4 2.70 3.5 83 76 76 -7 5 Mashari 7 59.5 5 3.40 0.0 82 87 87 +5 6 Winter Air 3 57.0 6 3.70 3.5 82 75 75 -7 7 Gavel Strike 4 61.5 7 4.00 4.0 86 83 83 -3 8 Prince Tyrion 4 52.0 8 4.50 4.0 67 64 64 -3 9 Quant Master 5 56.5 9 8.00 0.0 76 81 81 +5 10 Double Espresso 5 52.0 10 12.90 0.0 75 72 72 -3 99 Dandolo 4 59.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goliath Heron | 81 | 86 | 81 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Flashy Kaitrina Line | 72 | 82 | 72 | +10 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Fateful Day | 81 | 93 | 71 | +22 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Ideal Act | 83 | 86 | 76 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Mashari | 82 | 79 | 87 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Winter Air | 82 | 62 | 75 | -13 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Gavel Strike | 86 | 71 | 83 | -12 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Prince Tyrion | 67 | 54 | 64 | -10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Quant Master | 76 | 74 | 81 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Double Espresso | 75 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dandolo | - | 86 | 79 | +7 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points