Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 26 JULY FM 70 HANDICAP (F & M) (Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Allende
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ella's Delight 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.5 70 72 70 +0 2 Executor 5 61.5 2 0.50 0.0 73 76 76 +3 3 Kilmonivaig 5 61.0 3 0.60 0.0 72 75 75 +3 4 Allende 3 61.5 4 2.35 1.5 73 73 73 +0 5 Colorama 6 56.0 5 3.10 0.0 62 65 65 +3 6 Dawn Of Gold 3 53.0 6 3.35 1.5 64 56 56 -8 7 Bytheliteofthemoon 4 58.5 7 3.85 2.0 68 66 66 -2 8 Angelsea 3 57.5 8 3.95 1.5 65 65 65 +0 9 Frosty Reception 3 59.5 9 4.95 1.5 84 69 74 -10 10 Demigod 3 58.0 10 6.20 1.5 69 66 66 -3 11 Global Goddess 3 53.0 11 6.70 1.5 56 56 56 +0 12 Miss Predator 3 57.0 12 16.70 1.5 79 64 69 -10 13 Confetti 2 60.5 13 28.45 0.5 86 73 76 -10 99 My Ami Beach 6 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ella's Delight | 70 | 71 | 70 | +1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Executor | 73 | 87 | 76 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Kilmonivaig | 72 | 56 | 75 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Allende Line | 73 | 71 | 73 | -2 | 1.5 | ||
| 5 | Colorama | 62 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Dawn Of Gold | 64 | 63 | 56 | +7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Bytheliteofthemoon | 68 | 70 | 66 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Angelsea | 65 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Frosty Reception | 84 | 63 | 74 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Demigod | 69 | 67 | 66 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Global Goddess | 56 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Miss Predator | 79 | 61 | 69 | -8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Confetti | 86 | 81 | 76 | +5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | My Ami Beach | - | 70 | 73 | -3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points