Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: DOWNLOAD THE RACE CARD ONLINE www.goldcircle.co.za MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (Fillies) (For 2 yof R100 000 Win CRS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lucrative 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.5 - - - +0 2 Panthera Uncia 3 60.0 2 1.50 1.5 - - - +0 3 Ladyofdistinction 2 58.5 3 2.10 0.5 - - - +0 4 Terminal Velocity 2 60.0 4 2.35 0.5 - - - +0 5 Our Lady Fate 3 60.0 5 2.45 1.5 - - - +0 6 Edge Of Tomorrow 3 60.0 6 4.45 1.5 - - - +0 7 Run For Peace 3 60.0 7 5.15 1.5 - - - +0 8 Arctic Fury 2 60.0 8 6.45 0.5 - - - +0 9 Sweet Reunion 2 60.0 9 8.05 0.5 - - - +0 10 Feel The Wind 2 60.0 10 9.65 0.5 - - - +0 11 Princess Charmer 2 60.0 11 9.75 0.5 - - - +0 12 Arjuna 2 60.0 12 10.25 0.5 - - - +0 13 Seattle Rain 3 60.0 13 11.55 1.5 - - - +0 14 Sweet Dreamer 2 60.0 14 13.15 0.5 - - - +0 15 Sky Kisses 2 60.0 15 14.35 0.5 - - - +0 16 Drifter's Dream 2 60.0 16 27.05 0.5 - - - +0 99 Mzansi Lace 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.5 - - - +0 99 Twilight Bay 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.5 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucrative | - | 98 | - | +98 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Panthera Uncia | - | 60 | - | +60 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Ladyofdistinction | - | 95 | - | +95 | 0.5 | - | |
| 4 | Terminal Velocity | - | 68 | - | +68 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Our Lady Fate | - | 71 | - | +71 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Edge Of Tomorrow | - | 63 | - | +63 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Run For Peace | - | 54 | - | +54 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Arctic Fury | - | 56 | - | +56 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Sweet Reunion | - | 79 | - | +79 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Feel The Wind | - | 67 | - | +67 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Princess Charmer | - | 50 | - | +50 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Arjuna | - | 68 | - | +68 | 0.5 | - | |
| 13 | Seattle Rain | - | 55 | - | +55 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Sweet Dreamer | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 0.5 | - | |
| 15 | Sky Kisses | - | 50 | - | +50 | 0.5 | - | |
| 16 | Drifter's Dream | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Mzansi Lace | - | 45 | - | - | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Twilight Bay | - | 72 | - | - | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points