Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 88 HANDICAP (Open)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Kitchakal
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Harley Street        3    55.0    1    0.00     1.0   78    72           78    +0
2    Down By The River    2    55.5    2    0.50     0.0   81    80           80    -1
3    Kitchakal            5    59.5    3    0.90     0.0   87    87           87    +0
4    El Dante             7    55.5    4    1.30     0.0   79    78           78    -1
5    Golden Peace         2    59.0    5    1.45     0.0   89    85           85    -4
6    Cyber Time           3    58.0    6    1.95     1.0   84    81           81    -3
7    Princeofgreen        2    60.5    7    2.20     0.0   91    88           88    -3
8    Ralph The Rascal     8    57.0    8    2.80     0.0   82    80           80    -2
9    Wylie Riley          2    60.5    9    3.05     0.0   89    87           87    -2
10   Bugalugs             3    55.0    10   3.65     1.0   80    73           73    -7
11   Cabinet Shuffle      4    53.5    11   6.45     0.5   83    70           73    -10
12   Josephine's Pride    2    59.0    12   6.50     0.0   88    82           82    -6
13   King's Island        4    54.0    13   7.00     0.5   78    71           71    -7
14   Lord Wylie           7    57.0    14   8.60     0.0   82    78           78    -4
15   Canford Ice          2    56.0    15   35.60    0.0   82    76           76    -6
99   Teatime Tipple       2    54.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     72           72    +0
99   Let The Flag Fly     2    54.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     72           72    +0
99   Iron Will            4    53.5    99   0.00     0.5   -     70           70    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Harley Street 78 81 78 +3 1.0 -
2 Down By The River 81 95 80 +15 0.0 -
3 Kitchakal Line 87 86 87 -1 0.0
4 El Dante 79 87 78 +9 0.0 -
5 Golden Peace 89 105 85 +20 0.0 -
6 Cyber Time 84 81 81 ✓ Match 1.0 -
7 Princeofgreen 91 87 88 -1 0.0 -
8 Ralph The Rascal 82 73 80 -7 0.0 -
9 Wylie Riley 89 79 87 -8 0.0 -
10 Bugalugs 80 80 73 +7 1.0 -
11 Cabinet Shuffle 83 76 73 +3 0.5 -
12 Josephine's Pride 88 86 82 +4 0.0 -
13 King's Island 78 72 71 +1 0.5 -
14 Lord Wylie 82 69 78 -9 0.0 -
15 Canford Ice 82 82 76 +6 0.0 -
99 Teatime Tipple - 69 72 -3 0.0 -
99 Let The Flag Fly - 78 72 +6 0.0 -
99 Iron Will - 63 70 -7 0.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points